Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 5.563856 6.339817 7.194652 8.207837 9.378007 10.689473 12.274074
2025-06-08 4.393211 5.370803 6.532672 8.021090 9.885429 12.154064 15.140033
2025-06-15 3.897670 5.020533 6.432837 8.351472 10.908263 14.223553 18.889096
2025-06-22 3.459140 4.646270 6.209092 8.435943 11.558004 15.824544 22.173959
2025-06-29 3.077525 4.282756 5.932042 8.379947 11.965315 17.093453 25.107844
2025-07-06 2.758358 3.959704 5.660625 8.278009 12.263880 18.202652 27.903618
2025-07-13 2.595252 3.836264 5.650835 8.540678 13.108514 20.187367 32.257169
2025-07-20 2.436906 3.699608 5.601014 8.726234 13.839094 22.057438 36.643580
2025-07-27 2.330423 3.628677 5.639111 9.044786 14.803885 24.393716 42.091276
2025-08-03 2.126980 3.384629 5.379628 8.848444 14.885207 25.251871 45.049586
2025-08-10 1.964309 3.190898 5.181693 8.730522 15.079054 26.309644 48.481111
2025-08-17 1.822504 3.018724 5.002733 8.624134 15.274920 27.379510 52.052480
2025-08-24 1.683878 2.842449 4.805031 8.471272 15.380531 28.313494 55.524412
2025-08-31 1.553910 2.670426 4.599962 8.284686 15.401916 29.087126 58.773419
2025-09-07 1.517896 2.660332 4.678597 8.627654 16.466733 31.998180 66.861463
2025-09-14 1.447411 2.581949 4.626321 8.715248 17.035424 33.975499 73.209281
2025-09-21 1.363360 2.471760 4.505748 8.657243 17.300837 35.351482 78.398917
2025-09-28 1.280611 2.357548 4.368145 8.551637 17.454283 36.502114 83.222328
2025-10-05 1.250252 2.340574 4.415012 8.823769 18.435048 39.559407 93.021314
2025-10-12 1.212274 2.305689 4.423550 9.016026 19.260708 42.363579 102.619410
2025-10-19 1.191253 2.302469 4.494375 9.346112 20.427408 46.087209 115.129125
2025-10-26 1.116672 2.186131 4.326509 9.142657 20.352636 46.869202 120.035537
2025-11-02 1.055700 2.093358 4.200458 9.020469 20.454807 48.089545 126.311126